The Hindu Business Line : Gujarat coast parries cyclone Mukda

The Gujarat coast has more or less succeeded to parry severe cyclone `Mukda,' which has weakened as a deep depression and lay 280 km off Porbandar on Sunday morning.

It remained stationary relative to its position 24 hours ago, the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) said. It is predicted to stay as such and weaken further, but forecasters are still divided on where it is headed.

DEFICIT LOWER

All-India area-weighted monsoon deficit for the season until September 20 has shrunk by one percentage point to one per cent. This was achieved largely on the back of the nine per cent `surplus' rain (mostly in central and north peninsular India) falling during the week from September 13 to 20.

Tamil Nadu (-24 per cent) in the south; north and northwest India (-20 to 42 per cent); and the Northeast (-27 to 64 per cent) shared the bulk of the deficit. Locational advantages should help Tamil Nadu and the Northeast make some gains and improve positions before the season ends on September 30.

`MUKDA' KICKING

Though weakening and at some distance away from coast, Tropical Cyclone Mukda has been impacting Gujarat and will cause fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls accompanied with strong winds reaching 50 to 70 kmph. The sea is likely to be rough to very rough for fishermen to venture out.

The other depression over land moved slightly northwards and weakened into a well marked `low' over Bihar and adjoining areas. The system is likely to weaken further. Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls is likely at a few places over Bihar, sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim and East Uttar Pradesh.

Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura, Assam and Meghalaya, East Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal.

RAINS FOR TN

An NCMRWF update said a north-south trough of low pressure lay along the Tamil Nadu coast. This will bring fairly widespread rainfall over Tamil Nadu and Rayalaseema during the next two to three days.

The Bay of Bengal could be warming up by mid-week for a new `low' from a migrating system from the South China Sea. The causative tropical depression 17W has already formed over the western South China Sea, says Mr Jim Andrews of AccuWeather.com.

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