Financial Daily from THE HINDU group of publications
Thursday, May 16, 2002
Financial Daily from THE HINDU group of publications Thursday, May 16, 2002 |
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Agri-Biz & Commodities
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Agriculture Monsoon sets in on time Our Bureau
NEW DELHI, May 15 IN what can be constituted as good news for the economy, the southwest monsoon has arrived over the South Andaman sea on May 14, which is around its normal date. "Considering that the normal date for the monsoon to set in over the South Andaman Sea is May 15, it is a good sign'', the Deputy Director of the India Meteorological Department, Dr S.R. Kalsi, told Business Line. According to him, it was still too early to predict how soon the monsoon would hit the mainland. The normal date for the monsoon's onset over the Kerala coast is June 1, even though last year, it arrived on May 23 (i.e a week in advance) and covered the entire country by July 3 (12 days earlier than the normal date). "For the monsoon to advance to the mainland, we need a low pressure area to develop, which will facilitate its western movement. This is yet to crystalise, though there are features indicating that it is in the offing,'' Dr Kalsi added. During 2001, the South-West monsoon was normal for the country as a whole, with cumulative rainfall during June-September amounting to 92 per cent of the long period average (LPA). Following its early onset, the monsoon activity was especially strong in the first half of the season, with cumulative rainfall being 105 per cent of the LPA during June-July. Even regions, such as Rajasthan, Kutch-Saurashtra and Madhya Pradesh, which were reeling under the impact of two successive drought years, received good precipitation during the first two months. But from around mid-July, the monsoon activity weakened considerably, with rainfall being subdued in the second half, leading to a pronlonged dry spell over Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh.
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